ERCOT Market Analysis: How MarketNSight Supports Smarter Energy Investment

As the ERCOT power market continues to evolve – driven by renewable integration, grid constraints, and policy shifts – developers, asset owners, and investors need more than static modeling tools. They need analysis that reflects today’s volatility and tomorrow’s potential. Our engineering team created MarketNSight, a Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED)-based ERCOT market analysis tool, to support exactly that. For over 20 years, MarketNSight has helped energy clients reduce risk and make better-informed investment decisions – backed by timely data, granular insights, and adaptive modeling. 

 SCED Modeling Purpose-Built for ERCOT Project Development 

MarketNSight is engineered to support utility-scale development across ERCOT with functionality designed for: 

• solar and wind developers evaluating curtailment and basis risk 
• battery energy storage teams assessing top and bottom-hour pricing (TB2/TB4) to guide revenue stacking and dispatch strategies 
• merchant project developers modeling revenue forecasts using real ERCOT Locational Marginal Pricing (LMPs), ancillary services, and price adders 

Unlike one-size-fits-all SCED platforms, MarketNSight reflects the unique economics, congestion profiles, and operational challenges of ERCOT’s competitive power market. 

Real-Time Data Integration for ERCOT Grid and Market Conditions 

One of MarketNSight’s core advantages is its ability to incorporate real-time ERCOT system updates. This includes: 

• queue and GIS data to reflect up-to-date project statuses, such as interconnection agreement execution or financial security posted 
• Transmission Project Information Tracking (TPIT) data, allowing clients to run scenarios that include or exclude system upgrades based on their risk tolerance 
• PSSE load flow base case alignment to match the project’s Commercial Operation Date (COD), avoiding mismatches tied to hardcoded study years 

This enables clients to analyze ERCOT grid conditions aligned to specific years and project timelines – critical information for generation, storage, and hybrid asset owners navigating the interconnection process. 

 Calibrated ERCOT Forecasting: Congestion, LMPs, and ORDC Integration 

Accuracy matters. MarketNSight is continuously calibrated using ERCOT historical data and public forecasts, offering confidence in scenario planning and risk analysis. Calibration includes: 

• backcasting against historical congestion and shadow pricing 
• forecasting of LMPs and Operating Reserve Demand Curve (ORDC) impacts, aligned with ERCOT market design and current protocols 

MarketNSight includes ORDC calculations as part of its post-processing, ensuring revenue models mirror real-world ERCOT market operations. 

Financial Modeling for ERCOT Energy Projects 

From early-stage siting to bankability studies, MarketNSight helps energy clients: 

• build robust financial models using realistic market inputs 
• quantify upside/downside scenarios based on congestion trends 
• determine pricing impacts of system upgrades and queue dynamics 
• align investment strategy with ERCOT’s fast-moving regulatory and market signals 

Whether you’re analyzing a single node or developing a full portfolio strategy, MarketNSight gives your team the technical depth and flexibility to act with confidence. 

Talk to EPE’s ERCOT Experts 

At EPE, we partner with developers, IPPs, and investors working across ERCOT’s energy landscape. Our MarketNSight tool is just one part of how we help clients move from uncertainty to clarity. Contact us below to learn more about how we can assist with your project.